AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Dec 06, 2024

Helmond Sport

Home
VS
19:00

Den Bosch

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Helmond Sport Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Den Bosch Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.28 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Helmond Sport Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Helmond S… vs Vitesse 2-1
Nov 10 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 4-0
Oct 31 Helmond S… vs Telstar 3-0
Oct 27 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Sep 30 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 1-3
Sep 13 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 2-3
Aug 23 Helmond S… vs Emmen 0-0
Aug 18 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 0-1
May 10 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 1-1
May 03 Helmond S… vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Den Bosch Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 2-3
Nov 26 Den Bosch vs Cambuur 1-2
Oct 30 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 2-1
Oct 25 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 1-2
Oct 18 Den Bosch vs Vitesse 4-2
Oct 04 Den Bosch vs De Graafs… 2-2
Sep 20 Den Bosch vs Emmen 1-0
Aug 23 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 1-1
Aug 09 Den Bosch vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Aug 02 Den Bosch vs Emmen 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Den Bosch in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Helmond Sport struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2024 Den Bosch 0 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Aug 18, 2023 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Apr 14, 2023 Den Bosch 1 - 2 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Dec 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Aug 06, 2021 Den Bosch 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Helmond Sport Power 0
Den Bosch Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Helmond Sport Position

-7

Position Gap

10

Den Bosch Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.