AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Feb 02, 2024
Den Bosch
HomeVS
19:00
Helmond Sport
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Den Bosch Win
Draw
Helmond Sport Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.17 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.8
Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
Den Bosch Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | Den Bosch vs Cambuur | 3-1 |
| Dec 15 | Den Bosch vs De Graafs… | 0-4 |
| Nov 10 | Den Bosch vs Emmen | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Den Bosch vs Dordrecht | 5-1 |
| Oct 20 | Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | Den Bosch vs Willem II | 3-1 |
| Sep 15 | Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… | 3-2 |
| Sep 09 | Den Bosch vs Cambuur | 3-1 |
| Aug 18 | Den Bosch vs Helmond S… | 1-0 |
| Aug 04 | Den Bosch vs De Graafs… | 2-1 |
Helmond Sport Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19 | Helmond S… vs Jong PSV | 2-2 |
| Jan 12 | Helmond S… vs Dordrecht | 2-0 |
| Dec 15 | Helmond S… vs Willem II | 4-1 |
| Dec 08 | Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… | 1-2 |
| Nov 24 | Helmond S… vs Emmen | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Helmond S… vs Dordrecht | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | Helmond S… vs De Graafs… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | Helmond S… vs Cambuur | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Helmond S… vs Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Helmond S… vs Den Bosch | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Den Bosch struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Helmond Sport struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 0 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Den Bosch | 1 - 2 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 0 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| May 06, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 1 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 06, 2021 | Den Bosch | 2 - 0 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Den Bosch to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Den Bosch Power
0
Helmond Sport Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Den Bosch Position+7
Position Gap17
Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.