AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 18, 2023

Helmond Sport

Home
VS
18:00

Den Bosch

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Helmond Sport Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Den Bosch Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.82 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Helmond Sport Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 3-1
Apr 14 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 1-2
Apr 07 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Mar 26 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 0-0
Mar 10 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 3-0
Mar 06 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 2-0
Feb 03 Helmond S… vs Willem II 5-1
Dec 16 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 1-0
Nov 18 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-2
Nov 04 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 4-0
Den Bosch Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 04 Den Bosch vs De Graafs… 2-1
Jul 21 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 2-0
May 19 Den Bosch vs De Graafs… 3-0
May 12 Den Bosch vs Almere Ci… 2-2
Apr 14 Den Bosch vs Helmond S… 1-2
Apr 02 Den Bosch vs Willem II 0-2
Mar 17 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 3-1
Mar 10 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 4-0
Jan 27 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 3-3
Dec 16 Den Bosch vs Helmond S… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Den Bosch struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 14, 2023 Den Bosch 1 - 2 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Dec 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Aug 06, 2021 Den Bosch 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Helmond Sport Power 0
Den Bosch Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Helmond Sport Position

-7

Position Gap

10

Den Bosch Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.