AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 14, 2023

Den Bosch

Home
VS
18:00

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Den Bosch Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Helmond Sport Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.84 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Den Bosch Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Den Bosch vs Willem II 0-2
Mar 17 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 3-1
Mar 10 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 4-0
Jan 27 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 3-3
Dec 16 Den Bosch vs Helmond S… 1-0
Nov 19 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 0-2
Nov 04 Den Bosch vs De Graafs… 2-1
Oct 22 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 3-1
Oct 07 Den Bosch vs Willem II 1-2
Sep 09 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 2-1
Helmond Sport Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Mar 26 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 0-0
Mar 10 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 3-0
Mar 06 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 2-0
Feb 03 Helmond S… vs Willem II 5-1
Dec 16 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 1-0
Nov 18 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-2
Nov 04 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 4-0
Oct 24 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 6-0
Oct 14 Helmond S… vs Willem II 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Den Bosch struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Helmond Sport struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Aug 06, 2021 Den Bosch 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Den Bosch to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Den Bosch Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Den Bosch Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.