AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 06, 2021

Den Bosch

Home
VS
18:00

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Den Bosch Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Helmond Sport Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.47 - 1.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.5 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Den Bosch Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Den Bosch vs Cambuur 3-5
Mar 19 Den Bosch vs Almere Ci… 2-0
Nov 27 Den Bosch vs Cambuur 3-1
Oct 27 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 4-2
Oct 15 Den Bosch vs Almere Ci… 1-1
Aug 20 Den Bosch vs Almere Ci… 1-0
Helmond Sport Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-0
Apr 16 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 4-1
Feb 23 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 2-2
Jan 22 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-1
Oct 19 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 1-2
Oct 06 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Den Bosch struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Den Bosch to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Den Bosch Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Den Bosch Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.