AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Nov 16, 2022

ADO Den Haag

Home
VS
19:00

Roda

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
ADO Den Haag Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Roda Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.69 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ADO Den Haag Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Roda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
ADO Den Haag Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 ADO Den H… vs VVV Venlo 2-3
Oct 21 ADO Den H… vs De Graafs… 2-2
Sep 30 ADO Den H… vs Jong PSV 1-3
Sep 09 ADO Den H… vs Jong AZ 2-2
Sep 02 ADO Den H… vs Willem II 1-0
May 06 ADO Den H… vs Emmen 3-0
Apr 19 ADO Den H… vs Jong PSV 2-2
Apr 15 ADO Den H… vs Jong AZ 0-1
Apr 01 ADO Den H… vs VVV Venlo 0-5
Jan 30 ADO Den H… vs De Graafs… 0-0
Roda Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Roda vs Jong AZ 2-0
Oct 28 Roda vs Utrecht 4-1
Oct 21 Roda vs FC OSS 3-0
Oct 07 Roda vs VVV Venlo 4-1
Sep 30 Roda vs Almere Ci… 2-1
Sep 12 Roda vs De Graafs… 3-2
Sep 04 Roda vs MVV Maast… 1-1
Aug 12 Roda vs Jong AZ 1-0
Aug 05 Roda vs Dordrecht 0-2
Jul 30 Roda vs De Graafs… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ADO Den Haag struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Roda struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2022 Roda 5 - 0 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Sep 24, 2021 ADO Den Haag 2 - 0 Roda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Roda to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-3 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ADO Den Haag Power 0
Roda Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

ADO Den Haag Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Roda Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 54%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.