AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Oct 06, 2023

Jong PSV

Home
VS
18:00

MVV Maastricht

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
MVV Maastricht Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.27 - 0.87
Key Insights
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Jong PSV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 3-4
Aug 28 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-1
Aug 18 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 4-1
May 19 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
May 12 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 1-0
Apr 24 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 0-1
Mar 13 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 0-1
Mar 10 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 3-0
Feb 13 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 1-2
Feb 03 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 1-2
MVV Maastricht Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 0-1
Sep 15 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 3-2
Sep 01 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 2-1
May 19 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 1-0
Apr 28 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 1-3
Apr 24 MVV Maast… vs Jong PSV 0-1
Apr 07 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 1-2
Mar 31 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 3-2
Mar 17 MVV Maast… vs Utrecht 1-0
Feb 20 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • MVV Maastricht struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power 0
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jong PSV Position

+15

Position Gap

18

MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.