AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Apr 24, 2023
Jong PSV
HomeVS
18:00
MVV Maastricht
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
Draw
MVV Maastricht Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
CS68+M80 (75.0%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.40 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.8
Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
Jong PSV Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Jong PSV vs Helmond S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… | 1-2 |
| Nov 17 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 2-1 |
| Nov 07 | Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… | 0-1 |
| Oct 28 | Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… | 2-2 |
| Oct 24 | Jong PSV vs Helmond S… | 6-0 |
| Oct 14 | Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… | 1-1 |
| Sep 30 | Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… | 1-3 |
MVV Maastricht Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 07 | MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… | 1-2 |
| Mar 31 | MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… | 3-2 |
| Mar 17 | MVV Maast… vs Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ | 4-2 |
| Feb 05 | MVV Maast… vs Roda | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch | 3-3 |
| Nov 19 | MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | MVV Maast… vs Utrecht | 3-0 |
| Nov 04 | MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… | 4-0 |
| Oct 22 | MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch | 3-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Jong PSV in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | MVV Maastricht | 1 - 1 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Jong PSV | 2 - 2 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | MVV Maastricht | 1 - 2 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 3 - 1 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power
0
MVV Maastricht Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Jong PSV Position+15
Position Gap18
MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.