AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 25, 2022

Jong PSV

Home
VS
18:00

MVV Maastricht

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
MVV Maastricht Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.52 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Jong PSV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Apr 15 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-3
Apr 08 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 2-0
Feb 14 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 0-2
Feb 04 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-0
Jan 10 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 5-1
Nov 26 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Nov 05 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 2-2
Oct 22 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 3-5
Sep 20 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 0-1
MVV Maastricht Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 MVV Maast… vs Utrecht 2-4
Apr 01 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 1-2
Mar 27 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 0-3
Mar 14 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 2-3
Mar 11 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 3-1
Jan 29 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 1-0
Jan 07 MVV Maast… vs Roda 1-0
Nov 29 MVV Maast… vs Roda 1-1
Nov 26 MVV Maast… vs Jong PSV 1-2
Nov 19 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • MVV Maastricht struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power 0
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jong PSV Position

+15

Position Gap

18

MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.