AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 05, 2021

Jong PSV

Home
VS
12:30

MVV Maastricht

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
MVV Maastricht Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.55 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Jong PSV Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 1-6
Feb 23 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-2
Jan 22 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 5-1
Dec 21 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 1-2
Nov 30 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 0-1
Nov 24 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 1-1
MVV Maastricht Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Mar 26 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 2-0
Mar 19 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 4-3
Mar 12 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 3-2
Jan 31 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 2-0
Jan 22 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 1-1
Nov 14 MVV Maast… vs Roda 2-0
Oct 02 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 3-3
Sep 05 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 1-7
Aug 30 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Jong PSV struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power 0
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jong PSV Position

+15

Position Gap

18

MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.