AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Dec 09, 2024

Jong Ajax

Home
VS
19:00

De Graafschap

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Jong Ajax Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
De Graafschap Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.47 - 1.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
De Graafschap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Jong Ajax Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 0-2
Aug 21 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-2
Jan 13 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 3-0
Aug 22 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 5-1
May 06 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-1
Nov 26 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-3
De Graafschap Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 De Graafs… vs FC OSS 4-0
Oct 29 De Graafs… vs FC OSS 4-1
Oct 25 De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… 1-2
Oct 04 De Graafs… vs Den Bosch 2-2
Sep 29 De Graafs… vs Vitesse 3-1
Sep 13 De Graafs… vs Helmond S… 2-3
Sep 06 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Sep 01 De Graafs… vs Roda 1-4
Aug 23 De Graafs… vs Utrecht 2-2
May 18 De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • De Graafschap in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2024 De Graafschap 0 - 2 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Aug 21, 2023 Jong Ajax 1 - 2 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
Jan 13, 2023 De Graafschap 3 - 0 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Aug 22, 2022 Jong Ajax 5 - 1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Jong Ajax 1 - 1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 De Graafschap 1 - 3 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jong Ajax Power 0
De Graafschap Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Jong Ajax Position

-15

Position Gap

5

De Graafschap Position
Home Win Rate: 23%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.