AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Mar 11, 2024
De Graafschap
HomeVS
19:00
Jong Ajax
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
De Graafschap Win
Draw
Jong Ajax Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 2.82 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.5
Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
De Graafschap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Jong Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
De Graafschap Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 01 | De Graafs… vs FC OSS | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | De Graafs… vs Den Bosch | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | De Graafs… vs Helmond S… | 3-1 |
| Jan 19 | De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… | 5-3 |
| Dec 19 | De Graafs… vs Quick Boys | 2-0 |
| Dec 15 | De Graafs… vs Den Bosch | 0-4 |
| Dec 01 | De Graafs… vs FC OSS | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | De Graafs… vs Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… | 2-1 |
Jong Ajax Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21 | Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… | 3-0 |
| Aug 22 | Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… | 5-1 |
| May 06 | Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- De Graafschap in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2023 | Jong Ajax | 1 - 2 | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 13, 2023 | De Graafschap | 3 - 0 | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Jong Ajax | 5 - 1 | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| May 06, 2022 | Jong Ajax | 1 - 1 | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | De Graafschap | 1 - 3 | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: De Graafschap to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 94
De Graafschap Power
0
Jong Ajax Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
De Graafschap Position+15
Position Gap20
Jong Ajax Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.