AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 21, 2023

Jong Ajax

Home
VS
18:00

De Graafschap

Away
AI Predictions 52.5% Confidence
Jong Ajax Win
52.5%
Draw
23.5%
De Graafschap Win
24.0%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.39 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
De Graafschap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Jong Ajax Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 3-0
Aug 22 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 5-1
May 06 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-1
Nov 26 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-3
De Graafschap Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… 0-0
Aug 04 De Graafs… vs Den Bosch 2-1
May 19 De Graafs… vs Den Bosch 3-0
Apr 21 De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… 0-1
Apr 14 De Graafs… vs FC OSS 3-3
Mar 06 De Graafs… vs Helmond S… 2-0
Feb 24 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 0-4
Feb 19 De Graafs… vs Roda 2-0
Jan 30 De Graafs… vs Utrecht 1-1
Jan 20 De Graafs… vs Almere Ci… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2023 De Graafschap 3 - 0 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Aug 22, 2022 Jong Ajax 5 - 1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Jong Ajax 1 - 1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 De Graafschap 1 - 3 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jong Ajax Power 0
De Graafschap Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Jong Ajax Position

-15

Position Gap

5

De Graafschap Position
Home Win Rate: 23%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.