AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 22, 2022

Jong Ajax

Home
VS
18:00

De Graafschap

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Jong Ajax Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
De Graafschap Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.13 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
De Graafschap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Jong Ajax Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-1
Nov 26 Jong Ajax vs De Graafs… 1-3
De Graafschap Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 De Graafs… vs Roda 1-0
May 13 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 3-1
May 09 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
May 06 De Graafs… vs Jong Ajax 1-1
Apr 22 De Graafs… vs Helmond S… 0-4
Apr 15 De Graafs… vs FC OSS 1-2
Mar 25 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 1-2
Mar 14 De Graafs… vs Roda 2-0
Feb 25 De Graafs… vs Den Bosch 0-0
Jan 30 De Graafs… vs ADO Den H… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2022 Jong Ajax 1 - 1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 De Graafschap 1 - 3 Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jong Ajax Power 0
De Graafschap Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Jong Ajax Position

-15

Position Gap

5

De Graafschap Position
Home Win Rate: 23%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.