AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Nov 26, 2021

De Graafschap

Home
VS
19:00

Jong Ajax

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
De Graafschap Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Jong Ajax Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.92 - 1.51
Key Insights
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
De Graafschap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Jong Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
De Graafschap Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 De Graafs… vs Den Bosch 2-1
Oct 15 De Graafs… vs PSV Eindh… 0-0
Oct 10 De Graafs… vs Almere Ci… 1-2
Oct 01 De Graafs… vs FC OSS 0-3
Sep 24 De Graafs… vs Utrecht 2-2
Aug 07 De Graafs… vs Roda 0-3
May 12 De Graafs… vs Helmond S… 0-0
May 07 De Graafs… vs Jong AZ 1-1
Apr 23 De Graafs… vs Almere Ci… 2-2
Apr 05 De Graafs… vs Utrecht 0-1
Jong Ajax Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: De Graafschap to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
De Graafschap Power 0
Jong Ajax Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

De Graafschap Position

+15

Position Gap

20

Jong Ajax Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.