AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Jan 18, 2025

Itabirito

Home
VS
22:00

Betim

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Itabirito Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Betim Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.43 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Itabirito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Betim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Itabirito Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 5-2
Mar 10 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 4-1
Feb 14 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 1-2
Feb 08 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 2-0
Feb 03 Itabirito vs América M… 0-0
Jan 24 Itabirito vs Democrata… 1-3
Aug 05 Itabirito vs Betim 1-1
Aug 02 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 2-3
Jul 22 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-0
Jul 15 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-0
Betim Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 2-2
Jul 10 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 2-3
Aug 12 Betim vs Uberlândia 0-1
Aug 05 Betim vs Itabirito 1-1
Aug 01 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 2-1
Jul 08 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 1-2
Jul 01 Betim vs Itabirito 0-1
Jun 25 Betim vs Uberlândia 0-0
Jun 17 Betim vs North Esp… 3-1
May 27 Betim vs Itabirito 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2023 Itabirito 1 - 1 Betim Mineiro - 2
Jul 01, 2023 Betim 0 - 1 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
May 27, 2023 Betim 0 - 2 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Itabirito Power 0
Betim Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Itabirito Position

0

Position Gap

4

Betim Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.