AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 2 Aug 05, 2023

Itabirito

Home
VS
17:30

Betim

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Itabirito Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Betim Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Itabirito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Betim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Itabirito Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 2-3
Jul 22 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-0
Jul 15 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-0
Jul 08 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 0-0
Jul 01 Itabirito vs Betim 0-1
Jun 03 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 3-0
May 27 Itabirito vs Betim 0-2
May 10 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 1-1
Betim Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 01 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 2-1
Jul 08 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 1-2
Jul 01 Betim vs Itabirito 0-1
Jun 25 Betim vs Uberlândia 0-0
Jun 17 Betim vs North Esp… 3-1
May 27 Betim vs Itabirito 0-2
May 13 Betim vs Uberlândia 0-2
May 10 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Itabirito in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 01, 2023 Betim 0 - 1 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
May 27, 2023 Betim 0 - 2 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Itabirito to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Itabirito Power 0
Betim Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.