AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 15, 2023

HB Køge

Home
VS
10:00

Roskilde

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
HB Køge Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Roskilde Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.45 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HB Køge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Roskilde Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
HB Køge Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 HB Køge vs Naestved 1-1
Sep 09 HB Køge vs Naestved 1-1
Jul 16 HB Køge vs Naestved 1-2
Jul 08 HB Køge vs Lyngby 2-1
Dec 04 HB Køge vs Lyngby 3-3
Sep 17 HB Køge vs Lyngby 1-1
Jul 25 HB Køge vs Naestved 2-2
Jun 14 HB Køge vs Roskilde 2-2
Jun 07 HB Køge vs Naestved 2-1
Roskilde Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Roskilde vs Brabrand 1-1
May 13 Roskilde vs Brabrand 1-0
Oct 22 Roskilde vs Brabrand 1-0
Sep 17 Roskilde vs Brabrand 1-1
Jun 14 Roskilde vs HB Køge 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 14, 2020 Roskilde 2 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HB Køge to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HB Køge Power 0
Roskilde Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.