AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenger Pro League Feb 23, 2025

Liège

Home
VS
18:15

Lierse Kempenzonen

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Liège Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.76 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liège Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Liège Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Liège vs Francs Bo… 0-1
Jan 31 Liège vs Seraing U… 2-1
Jan 26 Liège vs Lommel Un… 0-2
Jan 11 Liège vs RWDM Brus… 2-1
Dec 15 Liège vs Lokeren-T… 0-1
Dec 06 Liège vs Lierse Ke… 2-1
Nov 08 Liège vs RWDM Brus… 2-1
Oct 30 Liège vs Beerschot… 3-1
Oct 18 Liège vs Francs Bo… 1-2
Oct 04 Liège vs Lommel Un… 1-1
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 1-0
Dec 13 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 1-0
Dec 06 Lierse Ke… vs Liège 2-1
Nov 30 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 2-0
Nov 22 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 2-2
Oct 30 Lierse Ke… vs St. Truid… 0-2
Oct 06 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 4-0
Sep 28 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 1-1
Apr 19 Lierse Ke… vs Zulte War… 4-1
Apr 13 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liège struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Lierse Kempenzonen 2 - 1 Liège Challenger Pro…
Mar 16, 2024 Lierse Kempenzonen 3 - 2 Liège Challenger Pro…
Nov 12, 2023 Liège 2 - 4 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Aug 15, 2020 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Liège Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Liège to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liège Power 0
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Liège Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.