AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenger Pro League Dec 06, 2024

Lierse Kempenzonen

Home
VS
19:00

Liège

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Liège Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.66 - 1.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.7
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Liège Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 2-0
Nov 22 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 2-2
Oct 30 Lierse Ke… vs St. Truid… 0-2
Oct 06 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 4-0
Sep 28 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 1-1
Apr 19 Lierse Ke… vs Zulte War… 4-1
Apr 13 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 1-1
Apr 06 Lierse Ke… vs Club NXT 3-1
Mar 30 Lierse Ke… vs Standard … 0-1
Mar 16 Lierse Ke… vs Liège 3-2
Liège Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Liège vs RWDM Brus… 2-1
Oct 30 Liège vs Beerschot… 3-1
Oct 18 Liège vs Francs Bo… 1-2
Oct 04 Liège vs Lommel Un… 1-1
Sep 29 Liège vs Seraing U… 0-3
Sep 14 Liège vs RSC Ander… 3-3
Apr 19 Liège vs KRC Genk … 5-0
Apr 12 Liège vs Club NXT 1-2
Apr 07 Liège vs Francs Bo… 2-2
Mar 31 Liège vs Waasland-… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liège in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Lierse Kempenzonen 3 - 2 Liège Challenger Pro…
Nov 12, 2023 Liège 2 - 4 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Aug 15, 2020 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Liège Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Liège Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Liège Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.