AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenger Pro League Nov 12, 2023

Liège

Home
VS
12:30

Lierse Kempenzonen

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Liège Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 2.15 - 1.76
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liège Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Liège Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Liège vs RSC Ander… 0-2
Oct 01 Liège vs Lommel Un… 2-1
Jul 29 Liège vs Seraing U… 2-2
Jul 29 Liège vs Seraing U… 2-2
Aug 15 Liège vs Lierse Ke… 0-1
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 2-2
Oct 28 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 1-3
Sep 30 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 3-3
Sep 24 Lierse Ke… vs Beerschot… 1-3
Sep 17 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 2-0
Sep 03 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 1-2
May 13 Lierse Ke… vs Beerschot… 1-2
May 07 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 2-3
Apr 15 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 2-2
Mar 17 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2020 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Liège Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Liège to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liège Power 0
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Liège Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.