AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Aug 12, 2023

Guingamp

Home
VS
17:00

Dunkerque

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Guingamp Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dunkerque Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.83 - 2.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 2.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guingamp Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Dunkerque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Guingamp Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Guingamp vs Amiens 3-1
Mar 18 Guingamp vs Annecy 1-1
Jan 28 Guingamp vs Rodez 0-1
Jan 10 Guingamp vs Amiens 1-1
Oct 08 Guingamp vs Annecy 0-4
Oct 04 Guingamp vs Rodez 0-0
May 07 Guingamp vs Dunkerque 1-3
Mar 19 Guingamp vs Annecy 3-1
Mar 15 Guingamp vs Rodez 1-1
Jan 22 Guingamp vs Amiens 3-0
Dunkerque Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Dunkerque vs Boulogne 2-3
Jul 08 Dunkerque vs Lens 4-4
May 07 Dunkerque vs Guingamp 1-3
Mar 12 Dunkerque vs Pau FC 1-0
Feb 12 Dunkerque vs Rodez 2-0
Dec 21 Dunkerque vs Guingamp 2-1
Sep 24 Dunkerque vs Pau FC 1-2
Aug 28 Dunkerque vs Rodez 2-2
Jul 17 Dunkerque vs Boulogne 1-0
Mar 20 Dunkerque vs Pau FC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2022 Dunkerque 1 - 3 Guingamp Ligue 2
Dec 21, 2021 Guingamp 2 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Feb 05, 2021 Guingamp 0 - 0 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Oct 03, 2020 Dunkerque 1 - 0 Guingamp Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guingamp Power 35
Dunkerque Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Guingamp Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Dunkerque Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.