AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Apr 22, 2023

AFC Hermannstadt

Home
VS
12:00

Argeș Pitești

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
AFC Hermannstadt Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Argeș Pitești Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.88 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Hermannstadt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Argeș Pitești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
AFC Hermannstadt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-2
Apr 01 AFC Herma… vs FC Botosa… 1-1
Mar 04 AFC Herma… vs Rapid 0-1
Feb 28 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 0-1
Feb 13 AFC Herma… vs Petrolul … 2-0
Feb 04 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 1-1
Jan 28 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 2-0
Dec 10 AFC Herma… vs Farul Con… 4-0
Nov 14 AFC Herma… vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Oct 19 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 0-2
Argeș Pitești Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 1-0
Apr 06 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 1-0
Mar 20 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 2-0
Mar 01 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 1-0
Feb 26 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 1-2
Feb 19 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 3-1
Feb 04 Argeș Pit… vs AFC Herma… 1-1
Jan 29 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 0-2
Dec 07 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 2-1
Dec 04 Argeș Pit… vs Rapid 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Hermannstadt struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Argeș Pitești struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Sep 05, 2022 Argeș Pitești 0 - 1 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
May 19, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 0 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Apr 03, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 4 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Dec 16, 2020 Argeș Pitești 2 - 2 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Hermannstadt Power 0
Argeș Pitești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

AFC Hermannstadt Position

-10

Position Gap

5

Argeș Pitești Position
Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.