AI Match Insights

Liga I Feb 04, 2023

AFC Hermannstadt

Home
VS
12:30

Argeș Pitești

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
AFC Hermannstadt Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Argeș Pitești Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.29 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Hermannstadt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Argeș Pitești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
AFC Hermannstadt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 2-0
Dec 10 AFC Herma… vs Farul Con… 4-0
Nov 14 AFC Herma… vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Oct 19 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 0-2
Oct 14 AFC Herma… vs Rapid 0-2
Sep 05 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 0-1
Sep 01 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-0
Aug 15 AFC Herma… vs Farul Con… 0-0
Aug 01 AFC Herma… vs FC Botosa… 1-1
Apr 21 AFC Herma… vs Unirea Sl… 0-0
Argeș Pitești Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 0-2
Dec 07 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 2-1
Dec 04 Argeș Pit… vs Rapid 1-1
Nov 14 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 1-1
Oct 30 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 0-1
Oct 07 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 1-0
Oct 02 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 3-2
Sep 19 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 0-1
Sep 05 Argeș Pit… vs AFC Herma… 0-1
Sep 01 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Hermannstadt struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 05, 2022 Argeș Pitești 0 - 1 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
May 19, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 0 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Apr 03, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 4 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Dec 16, 2020 Argeș Pitești 2 - 2 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Hermannstadt Power 0
Argeș Pitești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

AFC Hermannstadt Position

-10

Position Gap

5

Argeș Pitești Position

Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.