AI Match Insights

Liga I Sep 05, 2022

Argeș Pitești

Home
VS
15:45

AFC Hermannstadt

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Argeș Pitești Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
AFC Hermannstadt Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Argeș Pitești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
AFC Hermannstadt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Argeș Pitești Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Aug 06 Argeș Pit… vs Rapid 2-1
Jul 29 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 3-1
Jul 16 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 2-0
May 07 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 0-6
May 02 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 4-0
Apr 25 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 0-4
Apr 04 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 2-0
Mar 20 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 2-3
Mar 11 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 3-0
AFC Hermannstadt Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-0
Aug 15 AFC Herma… vs Farul Con… 0-0
Aug 01 AFC Herma… vs FC Botosa… 1-1
Apr 21 AFC Herma… vs Unirea Sl… 0-0
Mar 20 AFC Herma… vs Unirea Sl… 2-0
Sep 26 AFC Herma… vs Unirea Sl… 0-1
May 19 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 1-0
May 08 AFC Herma… vs Dinamo Bu… 2-0
Apr 03 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 4-1
Feb 19 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 1 - 0 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Apr 03, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 4 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Dec 16, 2020 Argeș Pitești 2 - 2 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Argeș Pitești to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Argeș Pitești Power 0
AFC Hermannstadt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Argeș Pitești Position

+10

Position Gap

15

AFC Hermannstadt Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.