AI Match Insights

Liga I May 19, 2021

AFC Hermannstadt

Home
VS
15:30

Argeș Pitești

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AFC Hermannstadt Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Argeș Pitești Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.34 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Hermannstadt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Argeș Pitești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
AFC Hermannstadt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 08 AFC Herma… vs Dinamo Bu… 2-0
Apr 03 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 4-1
Feb 19 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 1-0
Jan 13 AFC Herma… vs Dinamo Bu… 0-2
Dec 16 AFC Herma… vs Argeș Pit… 2-2
Oct 31 AFC Herma… vs Universit… 0-1
Aug 24 AFC Herma… vs Dinamo Bu… 1-1
Argeș Pitești Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 4-1
Apr 03 Argeș Pit… vs AFC Herma… 4-1
Mar 01 Argeș Pit… vs CFR 1907 … 5-0
Jan 29 Argeș Pit… vs Universit… 1-1
Jan 26 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 0-0
Jan 23 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 1-2
Jan 14 Argeș Pit… vs FC Botosa… 0-1
Dec 16 Argeș Pit… vs AFC Herma… 2-2
Sep 20 Argeș Pit… vs FCSB 3-0
Sep 11 Argeș Pit… vs Uta Arad 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Hermannstadt struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 03, 2021 AFC Hermannstadt 4 - 1 Argeș Pitești Liga I
Dec 16, 2020 Argeș Pitești 2 - 2 AFC Hermannstadt Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Hermannstadt Power 0
Argeș Pitești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

AFC Hermannstadt Position

-10

Position Gap

5

Argeș Pitești Position

Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.