AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A May 12, 2024

Millonarios

Home
VS
00:30

Deportivo Pereira

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Deportivo Pereira Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.50 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Deportivo Pereira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Millonarios Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Millonari… vs Junior 2-1
Apr 28 Millonari… vs Chico 3-0
Apr 20 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Apr 17 Millonari… vs Junior 3-2
Apr 15 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Mar 17 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-1
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Jan 25 Millonari… vs Junior 2-0
Jan 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 5-0
Jan 19 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Deportivo Pereira Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-2
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-3
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Deportivo Pereira 1 - 2 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 23, 2023 Millonarios 0 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Jan 29, 2023 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 24, 2022 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Millonarios to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pereira Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-2

Position Gap

16

Deportivo Pereira Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.