AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jan 29, 2023

Deportivo Pereira

Home
VS
22:20

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pereira Win
46.0%
Draw
24.8%
Millonarios Win
29.2%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.61 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pereira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Deportivo Pereira Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 14 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-0
Millonarios Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Millonari… vs River Pla… 2-0
Nov 24 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Nov 14 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jul 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Mar 04 Millonari… vs Chico 0-1
Dec 10 Millonari… vs Chico 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2022 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pereira to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pereira Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Deportivo Pereira Position

+2

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.