AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 14, 2022

Millonarios

Home
VS
21:00

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 58.3% Confidence
Millonarios Win
58.3%
Draw
22.3%
Deportivo Pasto Win
19.3%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.18 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Millonarios Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Mar 04 Millonari… vs Chico 0-1
Dec 10 Millonari… vs Chico 2-0
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-0
Nov 08 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 0-1
Nov 07 Deportivo… vs Junior 4-3
Nov 06 Deportivo… vs Independi… 0-0
Oct 17 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Oct 12 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 2-2
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Junior 2-1
Sep 15 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Aug 28 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 1-1
Aug 26 Deportivo… vs Jaguares 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.