AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura Mar 29, 2025

Sportivo Ameliano

Home
VS
21:15

Sportivo Luqueño

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sportivo Ameliano Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sportivo Luqueño Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.08 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Sportivo Luqueño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (19%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Sportivo Ameliano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Feb 22 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-1
Feb 16 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 2-0
Feb 10 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Nov 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Nov 11 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Oct 25 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 1-2
Oct 06 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-0
Sep 02 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 3-1
Aug 29 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Sportivo Luqueño Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 0-1
Mar 10 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-1
Mar 05 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Feb 21 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Feb 09 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 0-1
Jan 29 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Dec 03 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 0-0
Nov 28 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 0-1
Nov 25 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-2
Nov 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2025 Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano CONMEBOL Sudam…
Nov 16, 2024 Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 2 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Sep 02, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 3 - 1 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
May 11, 2024 Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Feb 16, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 3 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Oct 09, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 0 - 2 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sportivo Ameliano to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Sportivo Luqueño Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.