AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura May 11, 2024

Sportivo Luqueño

Home
VS
23:30

Sportivo Ameliano

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sportivo Luqueño Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sportivo Ameliano Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.03 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sportivo Luqueño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Sportivo Luqueño Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 0-1
Apr 08 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Mar 14 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 0-1
Mar 10 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 1-0
Mar 07 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 0-1
Mar 02 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 1-0
Feb 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 1-3
Feb 11 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Jan 20 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 2-0
Dec 01 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-1
Sportivo Ameliano Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-1
Mar 10 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 4-1
Mar 02 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Feb 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 1-3
Jan 19 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-0
Oct 28 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-1
Oct 09 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Aug 11 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Oct 17 Sportivo … vs Rubio Ñu 0-1
Sep 25 Sportivo … vs Club Sp. … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sportivo Luqueño in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sportivo Ameliano struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 3 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Oct 09, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 0 - 2 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sportivo Luqueño to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sportivo Luqueño Power 0
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.