AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura Feb 16, 2024

Sportivo Ameliano

Home
VS
23:45

Sportivo Luqueño

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sportivo Ameliano Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sportivo Luqueño Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.62 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Sportivo Luqueño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Sportivo Ameliano Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-0
Oct 28 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-1
Oct 09 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Aug 11 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Oct 17 Sportivo … vs Rubio Ñu 0-1
Sep 25 Sportivo … vs Club Sp. … 3-0
Jul 05 Sportivo … vs Rubio Ñu 1-0
Jun 19 Sportivo … vs Club Sp. … 2-0
Sportivo Luqueño Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Jan 20 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 2-0
Dec 01 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-1
Nov 07 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 2-1
Nov 03 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 2-0
Oct 09 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Sep 24 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 2-1
Sep 19 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 0-0
Aug 27 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 0-1
Aug 20 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sportivo Ameliano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 09, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 0 - 2 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sportivo Ameliano to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Sportivo Luqueño Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.