AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Dec 14, 2024

FC Vaduz

Home
VS
17:00

Étoile Carouge

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Vaduz Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Étoile Carouge Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.68 - 1.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.9 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Vaduz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
FC Vaduz Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 FC Vaduz vs Bellinzona 1-2
Dec 03 FC Vaduz vs Stade Nyo… 1-1
Nov 08 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
Nov 01 FC Vaduz vs Stade Lau… 2-2
Oct 27 FC Vaduz vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Oct 05 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 0-0
Sep 29 FC Vaduz vs Bellinzona 2-1
Sep 24 FC Vaduz vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
Sep 20 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 2-5
Aug 30 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 4-1
Étoile Carouge Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 0-1
Nov 30 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 2-1
Nov 01 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 2-1
Oct 25 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 1-1
Oct 04 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 3-1
Sep 27 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 5-1
Sep 24 Étoile Ca… vs FC Vaduz 1-0
Sep 20 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 2-4
Aug 30 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 3-1
Aug 24 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Étoile Carouge in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2024 Étoile Carouge 1 - 0 FC Vaduz Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Vaduz to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Vaduz Power 0
Étoile Carouge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Vaduz Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Étoile Carouge Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.