AI Match Insights

Frauen Bundesliga Feb 05, 2024

Bayern Munich Women

Home
VS
18:30

SC Freiburg Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
SC Freiburg Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.37 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
SC Freiburg Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Bayern Munich Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bayern Mu… vs Paris Sai… 2-2
Dec 17 Bayern Mu… vs FC Nurnbe… 1-1
Dec 11 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 3-0
Nov 23 Bayern Mu… vs Paris Sai… 0-1
Oct 22 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzi… 0-3
Oct 14 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 0-0
Sep 15 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 2-2
May 20 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 0-0
Apr 22 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 8-2
Mar 29 Bayern Mu… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
SC Freiburg Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzi… 0-2
Dec 09 SC Freibu… vs SGS Essen… 0-1
Nov 20 SC Freibu… vs FC Köln W… 3-3
Nov 12 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 4-0
Oct 08 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Sep 15 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-2
May 28 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-1
May 21 SC Freibu… vs FC Köln W… 1-3
May 18 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 4-1
May 07 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • SC Freiburg Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2023 SC Freiburg Women 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Apr 22, 2023 Bayern Munich Women 8 - 2 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Nov 05, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Feb 12, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Sep 11, 2021 Bayern Munich Women 4 - 0 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 67 vs 40
Bayern Munich Women Power 67
SC Freiburg Women Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Women Position

+5

Position Gap

6

SC Freiburg Women Position

Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.