AI Match Insights

Persian Gulf Pro League May 25, 2022

Tractor

Home
VS
15:30

Fajr Sepasi

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Tractor Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fajr Sepasi Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tractor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Fajr Sepasi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Tractor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Tractor vs Persepolis 0-3
May 14 Tractor vs ZOB Ahan 0-0
Apr 03 Tractor vs Mes Rafsa… 1-0
Mar 17 Tractor vs Aluminium… 1-0
Feb 28 Tractor vs Sepahan FC 2-2
Feb 23 Tractor vs Paykan 0-0
Feb 18 Tractor vs Esteghlal… 0-1
Jan 08 Tractor vs Fajr Sepa… 1-1
Dec 29 Tractor vs ZOB Ahan 0-1
Dec 20 Tractor vs Mes Rafsa… 0-0
Fajr Sepasi Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Fajr Sepa… vs ZOB Ahan 0-1
Apr 03 Fajr Sepa… vs Aluminium… 0-0
Mar 17 Fajr Sepa… vs Foolad FC 1-0
Mar 06 Fajr Sepa… vs Sepahan FC 2-0
Feb 13 Fajr Sepa… vs Gol Gohar 2-0
Jan 13 Fajr Sepa… vs Persepolis 1-0
Jan 08 Fajr Sepa… vs Tractor 1-1
Jan 03 Fajr Sepa… vs ZOB Ahan 2-0
Dec 19 Fajr Sepa… vs Aluminium… 2-0
Dec 10 Fajr Sepa… vs Aluminium… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fajr Sepasi struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2022 Fajr Sepasi 1 - 1 Tractor Persian Gulf P…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tractor to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tractor Power 0
Fajr Sepasi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Tractor Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Fajr Sepasi Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.