AI Match Insights

Ekstraklasa Nov 03, 2024

Lechia Gdansk

Home
VS
16:30

Cracovia Krakow

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Lechia Gdansk Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cracovia Krakow Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.24 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lechia Gdansk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Cracovia Krakow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Lechia Gdansk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 0-2
Sep 14 Lechia Gd… vs Radomiak … 1-0
Sep 01 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 2-3
Aug 03 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 3-1
Jul 06 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 1-1
May 26 Lechia Gd… vs Miedź Leg… 4-1
May 19 Lechia Gd… vs Arka Gdyn… 2-1
May 11 Lechia Gd… vs Wisla Kra… 3-4
May 04 Lechia Gd… vs Tychy 71 3-0
Apr 27 Lechia Gd… vs Stal Rzes… 4-2
Cracovia Krakow Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Cracovia … vs Motor Lub… 6-2
Oct 19 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 0-2
Aug 31 Cracovia … vs Radomiak … 2-1
Aug 10 Cracovia … vs Korona Ki… 0-2
Jul 03 Cracovia … vs Radomiak … 0-1
May 25 Cracovia … vs Ruch Chor… 2-0
May 19 Cracovia … vs Raków Czę… 2-0
May 10 Cracovia … vs Śląsk Wro… 4-0
May 03 Cracovia … vs Gornik Za… 5-0
Apr 28 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cracovia Krakow struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2023 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 2 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Oct 08, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 1 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Feb 11, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 2 - 0 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 3 - 0 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
May 08, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 1 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Dec 19, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 3 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 3 - 2 Lechia Gdansk Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lechia Gdansk Power 0
Cracovia Krakow Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Lechia Gdansk Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Cracovia Krakow Position

Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.