AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Apr 22, 2023

Lechia Gdansk

Home
VS
13:00

Cracovia Krakow

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Lechia Gdansk Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cracovia Krakow Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.87 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lechia Gdansk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cracovia Krakow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Lechia Gdansk Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 5-0
Feb 04 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 1-1
Jan 19 Lechia Gd… vs Hradec Kr… 0-3
Nov 18 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 2-1
Nov 08 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 2-2
Nov 04 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 2-1
Oct 08 Lechia Gd… vs Cracovia … 0-1
Aug 31 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 0-3
Apr 18 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 1-3
Apr 09 Lechia Gd… vs Nieciecza 2-0
Cracovia Krakow Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Cracovia … vs Korona Ki… 2-1
Nov 11 Cracovia … vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Oct 23 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 0-0
Oct 08 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 0-1
Jul 23 Cracovia … vs Korona Ki… 2-0
May 13 Cracovia … vs Wisla Plo… 3-0
Feb 28 Cracovia … vs Nieciecza 1-2
Feb 11 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 2-0
Feb 06 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 3-3
Nov 28 Cracovia … vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cracovia Krakow struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 1 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Feb 11, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 2 - 0 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 3 - 0 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
May 08, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 1 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Dec 19, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 3 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 3 - 2 Lechia Gdansk Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lechia Gdansk Power 0
Cracovia Krakow Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Lechia Gdansk Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Cracovia Krakow Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.