AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 14, 2021

Lechia Gdansk

Home
VS
15:30

Cracovia Krakow

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Lechia Gdansk Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cracovia Krakow Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lechia Gdansk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Cracovia Krakow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Lechia Gdansk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 03 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 0-1
Jun 30 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 3-2
May 08 Lechia Gd… vs Cracovia … 1-1
Apr 20 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 3-0
Feb 20 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 2-0
Dec 19 Lechia Gd… vs Cracovia … 0-3
Sep 13 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 3-0
Jul 24 Lechia Gd… vs Cracovia … 3-2
Cracovia Krakow Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 2-0
Jul 16 Cracovia … vs Nieciecza 0-4
Jul 16 Cracovia … vs Nieciecza 4-0
May 08 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 1-1
Apr 21 Cracovia … vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Apr 03 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 2-1
Dec 19 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 0-3
Nov 27 Cracovia … vs Wisla Plo… 0-1
Aug 12 Cracovia … vs Nieciecza 3-1
Jul 24 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cracovia Krakow struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 08, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 1 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Dec 19, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 3 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 3 - 2 Lechia Gdansk Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lechia Gdansk Power 0
Cracovia Krakow Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Lechia Gdansk Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Cracovia Krakow Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.