AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Mar 16, 2025

Zaglebie Lubin

Home
VS
13:45

Korona Kielce

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Zaglebie Lubin Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Korona Kielce Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 2.13 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zaglebie Lubin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Zaglebie Lubin Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Zaglebie … vs GKS Katow… 1-0
Jan 17 Zaglebie … vs Widzew Łó… 4-7
Dec 04 Zaglebie … vs Pogoń Szc… 4-3
Nov 29 Zaglebie … vs Cracovia … 1-1
Nov 09 Zaglebie … vs Widzew Łó… 2-0
Nov 04 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 3-0
Oct 31 Zaglebie … vs Warta Poz… 0-3
Oct 05 Zaglebie … vs Gornik Za… 0-1
Sep 26 Zaglebie … vs Podbeskid… 0-0
Sep 22 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 5-1
Korona Kielce Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Korona Ki… vs Ruch Chor… 2-0
Feb 14 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 1-1
Feb 02 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 1-1
Dec 04 Korona Ki… vs Widzew Łó… 1-0
Nov 24 Korona Ki… vs Raków Czę… 1-1
Sep 25 Korona Ki… vs Stal Miel… 1-1
Sep 15 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 2-0
Aug 10 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 0-2
Jul 28 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 0-1
May 25 Korona Ki… vs Lech Pozn… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zaglebie Lubin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2024 Korona Kielce 2 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Mar 03, 2024 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 0 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Aug 27, 2023 Korona Kielce 2 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Apr 23, 2023 Korona Kielce 2 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Oct 09, 2022 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 26, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 09, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zaglebie Lubin Power 0
Korona Kielce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Zaglebie Lubin Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Korona Kielce Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.