AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Apr 23, 2023

Korona Kielce

Home
VS
10:30

Zaglebie Lubin

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Korona Kielce Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Zaglebie Lubin Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.09 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Zaglebie Lubin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Korona Kielce Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Feb 06 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Jan 29 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 3-2
Oct 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Aug 20 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
Jul 23 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-0
Jul 16 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 1-1
Jul 08 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Sep 22 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 4-3
Jul 14 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 3-1
Zaglebie Lubin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-3
Nov 12 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 1-2
Oct 16 Zaglebie … vs Widzew Łó… 3-0
Oct 09 Zaglebie … vs Korona Ki… 1-1
Jul 15 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
May 14 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 1-0
Feb 27 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
Nov 27 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 4-0
Aug 29 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 1-3
Apr 30 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 09, 2022 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 26, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 09, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Korona Kielce Power 0
Zaglebie Lubin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Korona Kielce Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Zaglebie Lubin Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.