AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Oct 09, 2022

Zaglebie Lubin

Home
VS
13:00

Korona Kielce

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Zaglebie Lubin Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Korona Kielce Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.00 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zaglebie Lubin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Zaglebie Lubin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 15 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
May 14 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 1-0
Feb 27 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
Nov 27 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 4-0
Aug 29 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 1-3
Apr 30 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 0-0
Feb 21 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 1-2
Dec 11 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 2-1
Sep 14 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 2-1
Jun 26 Zaglebie … vs Korona Ki… 2-1
Korona Kielce Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
Jul 23 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-0
Jul 16 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 1-1
Jul 08 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Sep 22 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 4-3
Jul 14 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 3-1
Jun 26 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 2-1
Jun 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
May 31 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Korona Kielce struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 26, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 09, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zaglebie Lubin Power 0
Korona Kielce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Zaglebie Lubin Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Korona Kielce Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.