AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jul 16, 2023

Cruzeiro

Home
VS
14:00

Coritiba

Away
AI Predictions 54.0% Confidence
Cruzeiro Win
54.0%
Draw
23.2%
Coritiba Win
22.8%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.97 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruzeiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Coritiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Cruzeiro Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Cruzeiro vs Santos 2-1
Apr 16 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 2-1
Feb 08 Cruzeiro vs Pouso Ale… 0-1
Aug 06 Cruzeiro vs Tombense 2-0
Apr 23 Cruzeiro vs Tombense 1-1
Mar 13 Cruzeiro vs Pouso Ale… 5-1
Feb 17 Cruzeiro vs Uberlândia 2-1
Feb 12 Cruzeiro vs Tombense 0-3
Feb 09 Cruzeiro vs Democrata… 1-0
Oct 13 Cruzeiro vs Botafogo 0-0
Coritiba Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 0-3
Jul 06 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 09, 2021 Coritiba 0 - 3 Cruzeiro Serie B
Jul 06, 2021 Cruzeiro 0 - 0 Coritiba Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruzeiro to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 79
Cruzeiro Power 0
Coritiba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Cruzeiro Position

-1

Position Gap

19

Coritiba Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.