AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 11, 2025

Joinville

Home
VS
19:30

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Figueirense Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Joinville Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Sep 29 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-2
Sep 21 Joinville vs Barra 2-2
Feb 24 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Feb 18 Joinville vs Barra 1-1
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-3
Jan 24 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 20 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-3
Oct 29 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 5-1
Sep 14 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Figueirense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 0-0
Oct 05 Figueiren… vs Joinville 0-0
Sep 15 Figueiren… vs Zumbi 0-1
Sep 14 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 3-0
Aug 24 Figueiren… vs Volta Red… 1-0
Aug 18 Figueiren… vs São José … 1-1
Mar 03 Figueiren… vs Bahia de … 5-1
Feb 22 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Feb 18 Figueiren… vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 17 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Joinville Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Figueirense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.