AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Oct 05, 2024

Joinville

Home
VS
19:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Figueirense Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Joinville Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-2
Sep 21 Joinville vs Barra 2-2
Feb 24 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Feb 18 Joinville vs Barra 1-1
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-3
Jan 24 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 20 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-3
Oct 29 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 5-1
Sep 14 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Sep 10 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-1
Figueirense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Figueiren… vs Zumbi 0-1
Sep 14 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 3-0
Aug 24 Figueiren… vs Volta Red… 1-0
Aug 18 Figueiren… vs São José … 1-1
Mar 03 Figueiren… vs Bahia de … 5-1
Feb 22 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Feb 18 Figueiren… vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 17 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-2
Feb 07 Figueiren… vs Atlético … 2-3
Feb 04 Figueiren… vs Corí-Sabbá 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Joinville to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.