AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 24, 2024

Figueirense

Home
VS
23:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Figueirense Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Joinville Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.94 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Figueirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 2-1
Jan 14 Figueiren… vs Corí-Sabbá 0-1
Oct 29 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 2-0
Oct 21 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-2
Oct 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-0
Aug 31 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-3
Jun 17 Figueiren… vs Brusque 0-1
Mar 19 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 3-0
Mar 12 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 0-1
Mar 11 Figueiren… vs Brusque 3-2
Joinville Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-3
Oct 29 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 5-1
Sep 14 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Sep 10 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-1
Aug 31 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-3
Feb 18 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 12 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 1-1
Feb 05 Joinville vs Barra 0-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 19 Joinville vs Marcílio … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Joinville struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Figueirense Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Joinville Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.