AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Aug 31, 2023

Joinville

Home
VS
00:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Figueirense Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.46 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Joinville Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 12 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 1-1
Feb 05 Joinville vs Barra 0-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 19 Joinville vs Marcílio … 0-0
Mar 05 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Feb 06 Joinville vs Marcílio … 3-0
Jan 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Figueirense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 17 Figueiren… vs Brusque 0-1
Mar 19 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 3-0
Mar 12 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 0-1
Mar 11 Figueiren… vs Brusque 3-2
Feb 26 Figueiren… vs Jataiense 1-0
Feb 12 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-0
Feb 11 Figueiren… vs Atlético … 2-0
Feb 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Feb 04 Figueiren… vs Avaí 4-0
Jan 31 Figueiren… vs Bahia de … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Joinville to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.