AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 21, 2023

Figueirense

Home
VS
19:30

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Figueirense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Joinville Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 4.50 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Figueirense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 0-0
Sep 18 Figueiren… vs Vitoria 1-0
Aug 28 Figueiren… vs Vitoria 5-1
Jul 02 Figueiren… vs Vitoria 2-0
Apr 03 Figueiren… vs Fluminense 2-1
Mar 26 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 2-0
Mar 23 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Mar 13 Figueiren… vs Corí-Sabbá 1-1
Mar 13 Figueiren… vs Atlético … 2-0
Mar 06 Figueiren… vs Bahia de … 2-1
Joinville Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Joinville vs Marcílio … 0-0
Mar 05 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Feb 06 Joinville vs Marcílio … 3-0
Jan 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Figueirense Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Joinville Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.