AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Apr 23, 2025

Al Kahrabaa

Home
VS
16:30

Duhok

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al Kahrabaa Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Duhok Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.65 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Kahrabaa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Duhok Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Al Kahrabaa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 0-0
May 29 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 1-1
Mar 05 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 1-1
Jul 04 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 2-2
Feb 10 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 3-0
Duhok Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 1-2
Mar 30 Duhok vs Zakho 1-0
Feb 14 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 2-1
Jan 24 Duhok vs Al Minaa … 1-1
Jan 20 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 0-2
Jan 14 Duhok vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Dec 21 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 2-0
Dec 08 Duhok vs Diyala 3-1
Oct 30 Duhok vs Zakho 2-2
Oct 26 Duhok vs Al Kahrab… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Duhok in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2024 Duhok 0 - 0 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
May 29, 2024 Al Kahrabaa 1 - 1 Duhok Iraqi League
Mar 05, 2024 Duhok 1 - 1 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
Jul 04, 2023 Duhok 2 - 2 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
Feb 10, 2023 Al Kahrabaa 3 - 0 Duhok Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Kahrabaa Power 0
Duhok Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Al Kahrabaa Position

-8

Position Gap

10

Duhok Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.