AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Oct 26, 2024

Duhok

Home
VS
14:15

Al Kahrabaa

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Duhok Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
Al Kahrabaa Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.37 - 1.91
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Duhok Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Al Kahrabaa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Duhok Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Duhok vs Al Najaf 0-1
Sep 27 Duhok vs Erbil 0-1
Sep 20 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jul 24 Duhok vs Al Najaf 1-0
Jul 19 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 0-3
Jul 14 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 2-2
Jul 01 Duhok vs Al Minaa … 4-4
Jun 23 Duhok vs Erbil 2-1
May 29 Duhok vs Al Kahrab… 1-1
May 22 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Al Kahrabaa Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
May 29 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 1-1
Mar 05 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 1-1
Jul 04 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 2-2
Feb 10 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Duhok in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 29, 2024 Al Kahrabaa 1 - 1 Duhok Iraqi League
Mar 05, 2024 Duhok 1 - 1 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
Jul 04, 2023 Duhok 2 - 2 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
Feb 10, 2023 Al Kahrabaa 3 - 0 Duhok Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Duhok to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Duhok Power 0
Al Kahrabaa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Duhok Position

+8

Position Gap

18

Al Kahrabaa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.