AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Mar 05, 2024

Duhok

Home
VS
14:00

Al Kahrabaa

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Duhok Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Al Kahrabaa Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.15 - 0.96
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Duhok Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Al Kahrabaa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Duhok Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Duhok vs Al Minaa … 2-0
Feb 20 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 0-3
Feb 10 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Dec 20 Duhok vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Dec 08 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 3-0
Nov 24 Duhok vs Al Najaf 1-0
Nov 04 Duhok vs Zakho 0-0
Jul 20 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Jul 09 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Jul 04 Duhok vs Al Kahrab… 2-2
Al Kahrabaa Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 04 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 2-2
Feb 10 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Duhok struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 04, 2023 Duhok 2 - 2 Al Kahrabaa Iraqi League
Feb 10, 2023 Al Kahrabaa 3 - 0 Duhok Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Duhok to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Duhok Power 0
Al Kahrabaa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Duhok Position

+8

Position Gap

18

Al Kahrabaa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.